General – Pacific RISA – Managing Climate Risk in Pacific Islands https://www.pacificrisa.org www.pacificrisa.org Tue, 03 Mar 2026 06:28:44 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://i0.wp.com/www.pacificrisa.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/cropped-Pacific_RISA_logo_GLYPH_2color.png?fit=32%2C32&ssl=1 General – Pacific RISA – Managing Climate Risk in Pacific Islands https://www.pacificrisa.org 32 32 101945623 What Hawaiʻi Residents Think About Sea Level Rise https://www.pacificrisa.org/2026/02/16/7358/ Mon, 16 Feb 2026 18:30:10 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=7358 Read More]]> Consensus, Urgency, and the Cost Question: What Hawaiʻi Residents Think About Sea Level Rise

By Colin Moore, Ketty Loeb, Victoria Keener, and Zena Grecni

Hawaiʻi is among the most vulnerable places in the United States to sea level rise. Nearly all residents live near the coast, where housing, transportation networks, tourism infrastructure, and cultural sites are concentrated. Chronic flooding and beach erosion are already visible in many communities, and long-term projections point to steadily rising risks over the coming decades.

Until recently, however, there has been little systematic evidence on how residents view this threat or what kinds of policy responses they are prepared to support. To address this gap, an interdisciplinary team from Pacific RISA, UHERO, and the UH Institute for Sustainability and Resilience conducted Hawai‘i’s first statewide, representative survey of public attitudes toward sea level rise (SLR) in summer 2025, gathering responses from 1,314 adults across all four counties. The results provide a baseline picture of public beliefs, risk perceptions, and policy preferences at a critical moment for coastal planning in the state.  Detailed findings are presented in the full report, Public Views on Sea Level Rise in Hawaiʻi: Results from a Statewide Survey.

Three themes stand out:

  • unusually broad agreement that sea level rise is happening,
  • a strong sense of urgency about its impacts, and
  • uncertainty about how long-term adaptation should be financed.

Taken together, these findings indicate that Hawaiʻi’s primary challenge lies not in public awareness, but in governance and the financing of long-term adaptation.

Key findings

  • 89 percent of residents believe sea level rise is happening.
  • Majorities of Democrats (97 percent), Independents (90 percent), and Republicans (80 percent) agree.
  • 49 percent say SLR is already affecting people in Hawaiʻi; 82 percent expect impacts within 25 years.
  • 83 percent believe impacts will be catastrophic within 50 years.
  • Roughly 90 percent support restricting development in flood-prone areas.
  • 81 percent would relocate from high-risk areas if offered fair compensation.
  • Only 45 percent are willing to pay higher taxes or fees for neighborhood-level protection.

Widespread public agreement

Public belief that sea level rise is occurring is widespread in Hawaiʻi. Statewide, 89 percent of residents say that sea level rise is happening (Figure 1). This view is shared at similarly high levels across all counties, ranging from 88 percent in Honolulu and Kauaʻi to 92 percent in Maui. In other words, belief in sea level rise is not confined to particular islands or communities but is broadly distributed across the state.

Figure 1

What makes this especially notable is how little this belief varies across political lines. Ninety-seven percent of Democrats say sea level rise is happening, but so do 90 percent of Independents and 80 percent of Republicans. Large majorities of both liberals and conservatives express the same view.

Residents are somewhat less unified on the causes of sea level rise, but disagreement remains limited. About two-thirds attribute SLR to a combination of human activity and natural processes, and another fifth see it as mainly human-caused. Only a small minority attribute it solely to natural processes.

From a policy perspective, this matters. Broad agreement that the problem exists lowers the political costs of acknowledging risk and creates space for long-term planning that would be far more difficult in a polarized environment.

Sea level rise as a present threat

Hawaiʻi residents also view the impacts of sea level rise as imminent.

As Figure 2 shows, nearly half say SLR is already affecting people in the state. Another 19 percent expect impacts to begin within the next ten years. In total, more than four in five residents anticipate local impacts within the next 25 years.

Figure 2

Expectations about personal exposure are similarly high:

  • 20 percent say they or their family have already been affected through flooding, higher insurance costs, or property damage.
  • 32 percent expect to be affected within ten years.
  • 20 percent expect impacts within 25 years.

Concern about long-term severity is widespread. Eighty-three percent agree that sea level rise will have catastrophic consequences for Hawaiʻi within the next 50 years.

When asked about specific outcomes if no action is taken, large majorities expect coastal erosion and beach loss, frequent flooding, damage to coastal property and infrastructure, disruption to tourism areas, losses to natural resources and cultural sites, and impacts on agriculture and public health.

For many households, these risks are already financial as well as physical. Thirty-nine percent report increased costs related to sea level rise or coastal flooding, including housing expenses, insurance premiums, repairs, or business disruptions.

In short, sea level rise is not viewed as an abstract future problem. It is widely understood as a present and near-term challenge to communities, livelihoods, and the state’s economic base.

Strong support for acting—and for changing how Hawaiʻi builds

Given these perceptions, it is not surprising that residents want the government to respond. Nearly 90 percent say state leaders should act immediately to prepare for sea level rise, with more than half expressing this view strongly.

Support is especially high for policies that reduce long-term exposure to coastal hazards:

  • about 90 percent support restricting new development in flood-prone areas;
  • more than 80 percent favor prioritizing inland development over continued coastal expansion;
  • roughly 80 percent support using public funds to acquire coastal land for conservation and restoration.

Residents also back an active government role in helping property owners manage rising risk. Large majorities support expanding eligibility for a state-funded flood insurance program, offering tax incentives or financial assistance to elevate or flood-proof buildings, and providing public funding to help owners relocate from flood-prone areas.

As Figure 3 shows, 81 percent say they would be willing to move away from areas identified as vulnerable to sea level rise if offered fair compensation.

Figure 3

This combination of preferences is unusual. In many coastal regions, public opinion strongly favors protection over retreat, even where long-term risks are severe. In Hawaiʻi, residents appear open to a mixed strategy that includes both helping people remain in place where feasible and supporting relocation where risks become unmanageable.

Views are more divided on shoreline armoring. A narrow majority (54 percent) believe private property owners should be allowed to build seawalls even if doing so harms public resources. Support is much stronger, however, for seawalls that protect public infrastructure such as roads, utilities, and harbors.

Overall, the survey points to a public that is receptive to significant changes in land-use planning and coastal management—an essential condition for effective long-term adaptation.

The central constraint: who pays?

While support for adaptation is widespread, there is no clear consensus on how it should be financed.

When asked whether they would be willing to pay higher taxes or fees to fund neighborhood-level protection from sea level rise, a majority of residents say no. Statewide, 55 percent are unwilling to pay more, while 45 percent say they would (Figure 4).

Figure 4

This gap between strong support for adaptation policies and reluctance to bear direct financial costs highlights the core governance challenge facing Hawaiʻi.

Many of the strategies residents endorse—relocating households, purchasing coastal land, reinforcing infrastructure, redesigning drainage systems, and maintaining protective ecosystems—require large and sustained public investment. While the survey did not test support for specific financing options, it does suggest limited public willingness to accept higher taxes or fees. Without credible, durable funding mechanisms, adaptation risks becoming a cycle of planning exercises and short-term projects rather than a coordinated long-term strategy.

Implications for policymakers

The survey results place Hawaiʻi in a distinctive position.

Unlike many states, policymakers do not face widespread skepticism or ideological resistance to acknowledging sea level rise. Public agreement on the reality and seriousness of the threat is broad, stable, and cross-partisan. Residents also support many of the most powerful policy tools available, including restrictions on coastal development and public assistance for relocation.

This creates a valuable window of opportunity.

At the same time, the financing problem looms large. Public reluctance to accept higher taxes or fees means that the hardest political work lies not in persuasion, but in designing cost-sharing arrangements that are seen as fair, credible, and effective.

That may require targeted state funding mechanisms, greater reliance on federal infrastructure and disaster-mitigation programs, clear prioritization of which areas can realistically be protected long term, and transparent communication about tradeoffs, limits, and timelines.

Sea level rise is a structural challenge, not a temporary shock, and it demands institutions and funding streams that reflect that reality.

Hawaiʻi does not lack public awareness or concern. What remains unresolved is how the costs of adaptation will be shared across communities, taxpayers, property owners, and future generations. How that question is answered will likely determine whether today’s strong public consensus translates into sustained, effective action—or remains a shared recognition of risk without the tools and funding needed to meet it.

This summary blog was originally published by the Economic Research Organization of the University of Hawaiʻi (UHERO) on Feb 16, 2026.

The full report is available on the UHERO website at: https://uhero.hawaii.edu/public-views-on-sea-level-rise-in-hawaiʻi-results-from-a-statewide-survey/

 

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Field Notes from Palau https://www.pacificrisa.org/2026/02/10/field-notes-from-palau/ Tue, 10 Feb 2026 22:58:25 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=7348 Read More]]> Field Notes from Palau: Measuring Elevation to Turn Flood Stories into Actionable Indicators

Coastal flooding in Palau is already affecting daily life—overtopping roads, disrupting access, and threatening critical and culturally important places. In partnership with Pacific RISA, Hawaii Sea Grant and the University of Hawaiʻi Sea Level Center (UHSLC), this work supports partners in in developing practical, place-based flood indicators that translate sea level and tide information into clear, decision-relevant insights for locations identified as vulnerable.

Over 10 days in January, Coastal Adaptation Specialist Moehlenkamp helped support field visits where a team collected 120 high-accuracy elevation measurements across Koror, Babeldaob, and Peleliu to support flooding threshold analysis. These measurements help link what communities observe on the ground with what tide gauge records show over time—so communities and agencies can better understand how severe flooding has been at specific places in the past, and how the frequency and depth of those events are likely to change as sea levels continue to rise.

Street in Sechemus Village in Koror is reported to flood regularly during Sping Tides (Image credit Palau Office of Climate Change).

From interviews to a priority site list

Coastal Adaptation Specialist Paula Moehlenkamp with Meiang Chin, a Peleliu resident and the school principal, at a shoreline school where high tides regularly cause flooding.

This field data collection effort was built on a stakeholder-driven process. An initial list of flood impact locations was compiled through interviews and meetings with community members, and stakeholders across the NGO, private, and government sectors. Those conversations identified roads, causeways, schools, taro fields, cultural sites, and other places where flooding creates real impacts. That list was then refined in collaboration with the Office of Climate Change (OCC) and the Palau Automated Land and Resources Information System (PALARIS) focusing on priority sites where elevation data could most directly support flood thresholds and locally usable indicators.

Field visits with local coordination and context

With support from the OCC, Coastal Adaptation Specialist Moehlenkamp visited sites and helped coordinate on-the-ground engagement. At many locations, the team met with state governors and/or state Protected Areas Network (PAN) coordinators, who guided them to the precise points to measure, and who also shared valuable context on flooding history and community impacts. These brief site meetings helped ensure the elevation measurements are not only technically accurate, but also locally meaningful and directly useful for the communities most affected.

What these measurements enable: localized flood indicators

Moehlenkamp measures elevation in a taro field that is reported to experience salt water intrusion and flooding.

Unlike broad flood risk assessments, this approach is designed to produce highly localized results. By linking high-accuracy elevation measurements at flood-prone sites with long-term tide gauge records, the analysis can evaluate a specific location—such as a road segment, school, or other critical site—and estimate:

  • Historical flooding frequency (how often water levels likely exceeded a site’s flood threshold)
  • Severity (how far above the threshold water levels reached during exceedances)
  • Future changes in frequency and severity under different sea level rise scenarios

This level of detail can support both community and government decision-making, strengthen national adaptation planning, and inform updates to regional planning products and assessments.

 

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Islands on the Front Lines https://www.pacificrisa.org/2026/01/27/islands-on-the-front-lines/ Wed, 28 Jan 2026 01:48:57 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=7326 Read More]]> Islands are often celebrated for their beauty, biodiversity, and deep cultural heritage. But they are also on the front lines of two of the fastest-growing environmental threats worldwide: climate change and invasive species. For US and US-affiliated islands—from Hawaiʻi and Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands, to Guam, the CNMI, American Samoa, and the countries in free association with the United States—these threats are already reshaping ecosystems, food systems, and local economies. A new paper in BioScience takes a closer look at why invasive species impacts are so severe on islands—and what needs to change to reduce those risks and build resilience in a rapidly changing world.

One key finding is just how disproportionate the impacts are. Between 1980 and 2019, invasive species caused more than $11.7 billion in damages across US and US-affiliated islands. When adjusted for land area, that’s five times higher per square kilometer than on the US continent. Islands import most of their food and goods, rely heavily on tourism and military transport, and often have limited resources to respond when new pests arrive.

Islands that are part of, or affiliated with, the United States experience five times the damage costs due to invasive species compared to the continental US when adjusted by land area.

But the paper also shows that the biggest challenges are not about a lack of tools or knowledge. This research, led by Pacific RISA PI Laura Brewington as part of her service on the US Invasive Species Advisory Committee, identifies three lessons that apply not only to US islands, but to island nations around the world. First, local capacity and trust determine whether efforts succeed. Programs that invest in local jobs, training, and community engagement are more likely to detect invasions early, while long-term support of island-led research, workforce development, and implementation supports sustained management as climate extremes intensify. Second, prevention at ports of entry matters. Airports, seaports, and shipping routes are the main gateways for invasive species. When inspections are inconsistent or under-resourced, new pests slip through—and the costs multiply later. Third, long-term control tools are essential but often underused. Islands have successfully applied biological control, targeted chemical treatments, and ecosystem restoration, but these approaches are frequently limited by short-term funding or regulatory delays. Expanding access to conservation-relevant tools and investing in restoration infrastructure also both increase ecosystem resilience following disturbance.

“In many cases, the science exists and the solutions are known,” says lead author Laura Brewington. “The real challenge is making sure systems are in place to prevent invasions in the first place and to act quickly and effectively when they occur.”

The paper also highlights promising examples, from interagency agreements in the Pacific to biofouling controls in Australia and community-driven biosecurity efforts in Mexico. These cases show that coordination and sustained investment can make a real difference. Islands are often described as “sentinels” for environmental change. But in the case of invasive species, they are also shields—protecting surrounding regions from further spread. Strengthening island biosecurity isn’t just an island issue. It’s a global one. Download the paper here.

Featured image: Sunset over Tumon Bay, Guam. Credit: Laura Brewington

]]> 7326 New Report Details Climate Change Challenges and Adaptation Strategies for the Marshall Islands https://www.pacificrisa.org/2025/05/14/new-report-details-climate-change-challenges-and-adaptation-strategies-for-the-marshall-islands/ Wed, 14 May 2025 21:30:02 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=6983 Read More]]> Growing challenges from sea level rise and risks to water and food security and human health are among the major issues detailed in a new report on climate change in the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI). Considerations for managing threatened resources, including fresh water, fisheries, and infrastructure, are outlined in the report by the Pacific Islands Regional Climate Assessment (PIRCA), a consortium of several government, NGO, and research entities.

Climate Change in the Republic of the Marshall Islands: Indicators and Considerations for Key Sectors is one in a series of PIRCA reports. Authors from Arizona State University, the East-West Center, the Majuro Weather Service Office, and the University of Hawaiʻi—along with 29 technical contributors from local government, NGOs, and research—collaboratively developed the RMI PIRCA report.

Key Messages

Climate Change in the Republic of the Marshall Islands lays out the changes the country is already experiencing, and what lies ahead. The key messages for decision-makers include:

  • Sea level rise threatens infrastructure, food and water security, and important ecosystems and cultural sites. Frequent and extensive flooding, coastal erosion, and saltwater contamination of groundwater are expected as sea level rise accelerates, threatening the long-term habitability of the atoll nation.
  • Ocean changes disrupt fisheries and cause coral loss. Coral reefs are key to the Marshall Islands’ fisheries and protection from coastal flooding. Fisheries changes and extensive coral loss are possible within the next few decades if current trends in rising ocean temperatures continue.
  • Hotter days and nights and stronger storms affect human health. Temperatures have risen, and heat waves stress water supplies and exacerbate a range of pre-existing health issues. More intense tropical cyclones mean a greater potential for flooding and associated public health and safety risks.
  • Collaborations and increased climate finance can bolster resilience. National government, international partners, non-governmental organizations, and local communities can work to expand adaptation strategies and access to climate finance, which is needed to meet the scale of challenges facing the RMI.

About Climate Change in the Republic of the Marshall Islands and the PIRCA

The collective efforts of the technical contributors and coordinating authors made the RMI PIRCA report possible. The report builds upon the US National Climate Assessment, offering a closer look at climate change impacts in the RMI and providing information for a wide range of sectors.   

The PIRCA is funded and supported by Arizona State University’s Global Institute of Sustainability and Innovation, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s CAP Program (through Pacific RISA), and the East-West Center’s Research Program.

Cover photo: An aerial view of Majuro shows that atolls are primarily covered with forest or agroforest, surrounded by shallow reef. Photo courtesy of USGS project, “‘Vegetative Guide & Dashboard’ relating atoll traditional agroforestry recommendations to predicted climate and sea level conditions in the Marshall Islands.”

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Building an Intelligent Data Exploring Assistant for Pacific RISA https://www.pacificrisa.org/2025/04/29/building-an-intelligent-data-exploring-assistant-for-pacific-risa/ Tue, 29 Apr 2025 21:11:09 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=6965 Read More]]> Advances in natural-language processing and large language models (LLMs), such as those utilized by ChatGPT, are transforming how geoscientists interact with complex datasets, enabling efficient and intuitive scientific analyses. As part of the Tracking and Communicating on Sea Level Pacific RISA project, PI Widlansky and the University of Hawaiʻi Sea Level Center (UHSLC) are developing tools that use LLMs to allow researchers to ask questions in everyday language and receive clear explanations and data analyses in response, minimizing the need for time-consuming tech support for project managers. One such tool, called the Station Explorer Assistant (SEA), draws on the UHSLC’s extensive databases and uses AI to analyze sea level data, compare water levels to normal conditions, and predict potential flooding. It even writes and runs its own analysis software, which it shows the user to check that its results are accurate. By making sea level science easier to understand and access, SEA can support communities adapting to rising seas and other coastal challenges. 

SEA technology is also generalizable across geoscience domains, through a framework called an Intelligent Data Exploring Assistant (IDEA), which can be demonstrated by asking it to analyze atmospheric observations from Mars collected by NASA’s InSight Mission (Try it!). By combining LLM capabilities with robust domain-specific customizations, SEA and the IDEA example generate accurate analyses, visualizations, and insights through natural-language prompts. This study highlights the potential of IDEA frameworks to lower technical barriers, enhance educational opportunities, and transform geoscientific workflows while addressing the limitations and uncertainties of current LLM technology. PI Widlansky’s work also highlights how AI can enhance scientific research and communication, and helps us to envision how the creation of similar tools can support scientists in many fields.

SEAinfo page, with several YouTube video demonstrations and presentations by PI Widlansky
https://uhslc.soest.hawaii.edu/research/SEAinfo/
GitHub IDEA page
https://github.com/uhsealevelcenter/IDEA
IDEA manuscript with a plain language summary and abstract
https://uhslc.soest.hawaii.edu/research/SEAinfo/IDEA_manuscript_latest.pdf

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New Publication on Islands and Invasive Species https://www.pacificrisa.org/2025/04/02/new-publication-on-islands-and-invasive-species/ Thu, 03 Apr 2025 02:05:07 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=6954 Read More]]> A recent white paper, co-authored by Pacific RISA’s Laura Brewington and the U.S. Invasive Species Advisory Committee (ISAC) highlights the critical importance of islands to the United States, and the harmful impacts that invasive species have on them. In “Island Resilience is American Resilience: Actions Towards Reducing the Impacts of Invasive Species on US and US Affiliated Islands,” the authors outline how U.S. and U.S.-affiliated islands, such as Puerto Rico, Guam, Hawaiʻi, and the Freely Associate States, contribute vital components to national and global food production, economies, biodiversity, cultural heritage, and security.

However, invasive species pose a significant threat to these islands, causing damage so severe that it is second only to climate change. Invasive species are responsible for nearly 90% of recorded species extinctions on islands and have caused billions of dollars in damages. The economic impact on U.S. and U.S.-affiliated islands is significantly higher than on the continental U.S., partly due to the high burden of invasive species on islands like Hawaiʻi. As an added threat, invasive species on these islands are merely one flight away from continental areas where they are not already established, posing immense risks to agriculture, industry, and biodiversity on the U.S. continent.

“U.S. and U.S.-affiliated islands are strategic strongholds for national security, global biodiversity, and economic stability—yet they remain uniquely vulnerable to invasive species. Federal leadership and investment in biosecurity will ensure these critical regions remain resilient and sustainable.” ~ Laura Brewington, the paper’s lead author

The high costs of invasion

Because many islands are geographically isolated, they are also highly susceptible to invasive species. Indigenous communities historically sustained themselves with minimal external influence, but modern trade and travel have increased the risk of invasive species introductions. The authors found that invasive species have cost U.S. and U.S.-affiliated islands over $16 billion in cumulative damages over the past 40 years. For instance, the State of Hawaiʻi has an almost equal number of nonnative plant species as the entire continental U.S., despite its small size. Invasive species reduce climate resilience by altering ecosystem structure and function, negatively impacting livelihoods, quality of life, food security, and culture.

Marine invasive species threaten coral reefs in tropical islands, with impacts to livelihoods, disaster resilience, and tourism revenue. Image of Hanauma Bay, Oʻahu, Hawaiʻi

Recommendations for federal action

The authors outlined four priority action areas where the U.S. federal government could begin to address these challenges to islands: terrestrial biosecurity, marine biosecurity, control measures and long-term impact reduction, and social and capacity conditions. For example, improved prevention efforts and jurisdictional coordination are needed to address terrestrial invasive species. Federal and local agencies should collaborate to enhance prevention at ports of entry. U.S. and U.S.-affiliated islands contain significant marine resources, including coral reefs, which are threatened by invasive species. Improved marine biosecurity measures are essential to protect these ecosystems.

Meanwhile, many islands already suffer from a high burden of invasive species. In these locations, biologically based control technologies and chemical controls are crucial tools for managing invasive species and must be developed with local conditions and capacity in mind. Post-disturbance restoration efforts will also be needed to recover ecosystems affected by invasive species, such as wildfire prone areas in Guam or Hawaiʻi. In all islands, federal agencies need to offer more support local capacity for invasive species management: investments in education, outreach, and professional development are essential to build local expertise and trust.

Damage from the invasive coconut rhinoceros beetle on Guam reduces Guam’s resilience to disaster events, such as tropical cyclones, and negatively affects food security. The beetle has already spread to Hawaiʻi and the Republic of the Marshall Islands, and is one flight away from reaching the continental United States. Image credit: Laura Brewington

Federal agencies must address the urgent need for coordinated efforts to manage invasive species on U.S. and U.S.-affiliated islands, and this white paper offers a blueprint for how to do so in ways that are appropriate to the needs and challenges facing islands today. These efforts will be vital for enhancing climate resilience, protecting biodiversity, and supporting the well-being of all U.S. island communities.

Featured image: Pampas grass, an invasive grass in all the main islands of Hawaiʻi and other parts of the Pacific Islands. Image credit: Maui Invasive Species Committee.

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Advancing Climate Services for Food Production in Palau https://www.pacificrisa.org/2025/03/30/advancing-climate-services-for-food-production-in-palau/ Mon, 31 Mar 2025 03:17:44 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=6946 Read More]]> This February, the Pacific RISA team traveled to Palau for a week to support the co-development of climate services and products that are locally relevant, impact-driven, support sector-based decision making, and to build local capacity to access and use climate data and information. Part of the team’s international work on climate services delivery, the week advanced our research on climate impacts to human health and agriculture, key priority areas for Palau as identified in multiple national reports and planning documents.

Pacific RISA’s Co-Lead Investigators, Laura Brewington and Victoria Keener, and Project Specialist Paula Moehlenkamp display a prototype of an early warning dashboard customized for taro production.

After learning during the 2024 climate services dialog in Palau that taro (kukau, in Palauan) is a staple crop of high importance for food security and island sustainability, the team developed a prototype of an early warning dashboard for taro producers, who are primarily women as heads of households. During this visit, the goal was to evaluate ways to improve the draft dashboard and enhance its practicality for users. Information below was primarily gathered through taro patch visits with farmers, but also includes information gathered during meetings with NGOs, as well as government officials. Nearly all taro patches in Palau depend on surface water availability, so knowledge of rainfall amounts and frequency, as well as temperature and duration of hot and sunny weather, is crucial for making planting decisions or other interventions, such as when to cover vulnerable crops. With this information, the team will update the dashboard and integrate other suggested tools, such as a community news page for information exchange.

The team visited Choll County to gather with a group of women taro farmers, present the dashboard, and gain insights and feedback to help improve the tool.

“What she learned from her mother is not applicable today.”

Taro cultivation practices in Palau vary widely, influenced not only by geography and family traditions but also by the individual farmer and the specific conditions of each patch. A recurring theme throughout these meetings was the profound impact of climate change on this practice. What was once a predictable process has now become increasingly uncertain, as traditional patterns and practices passed down through generations no longer align with the shifting climate. We heard from one farmer that what she learned from her mother is no longer applicable and that the ecological cues that Palauan women once relied on to time their planting and harvesting have shifted. The seasons, tides, and natural signs that guided generations are no longer the same, making traditional schedules and knowledge less reliable in today’s changing climate.

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Climate Change and Endangered Species Conservation in the Wai‘anae Mountains https://www.pacificrisa.org/2024/09/19/kahuli/ Thu, 19 Sep 2024 22:56:56 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=6654 Read More]]> The Pacific RISA Team recently took a field day to volunteer with the Army Natural Resources Program on Oʻahu (ANRPO) in the Wai‘anae Mountains, where we got to see firsthand what it takes to manage and restore some of Hawai‘i’s most remote and precarious native ecosystems.

View of the North Shore of Oʻahu from the ridgeline. Credit: Krista Jaspers

Through a cooperative agreement with the University of Hawai’i Office of the Vice President for Research and Innovation (OVPRI), the U.S. Army Garrison is responsible for ensuring compliance with the Federal Endangered Species Act on more than 50,000 acres of U.S. Army training ground on the island of Oʻahu. The ANPRO manages 90 of the 474 federally listed endangered species in Hawaiʻi, including plants, birds, land snails, and insects. These ecologically and culturally valuable species are often located in remote, mountainous terrain that can only be accessed by highly trained biologists and technicians using 4WD vehicles and helicopters. To attain the program’s goal of balancing the requirements of the Army’s training mission with its natural resource responsibilities, the ANRPO maintains nurseries and a seed bank for rare endemic species, and engages in monitoring and surveying activities, biocontrol research and deployment, eradication of invasive plant and animal species, building fencing to keep out feral pigs and goats, and hosts public volunteer workdays to foster community engagement in conservation.

The Pacific RISA team was most excited to see the highly endangered Hawaiian land snails, known as kāhuli, which through habitat loss, climate change, predator introduction, and over-collection have been disappearing at an alarming rate. There are estimated to have once been up to 750 species across the Hawaiian Islands, but 90% of them are now thought to be extinct. Our hike would take us through forests of native species (many of which are being managed by ANRPO), up to two protected snail enclosures, one managed by the Army, and the other by the State’s Division of Forestry and Wildlife (DOFAW) and Snail Extinction Prevention Program (SEPP).

Empty shells of Achatinella mustelina, and the shell of the Rosy wolf snail (Euglandina rosea), a threat to native species. Credit: Krista Jaspers.

We met ANRPO Conservation Manager Jane Beachy and Rare Plant Program Coordinator Tim Chambers at the ANRPO baseyard where we were briefed, equipped with weeding tools, and fitted with spiked shoes for the steep and often muddy trail. After a 45 minute drive to the trailhead in the Wai‘anae Mountains, we hiked to Kahanahāiki, where we immediately noticed biocontrol on the very pervasive and invasive strawberry guava (Psidium cattleianum), and passed a number of rodent traps and fencing designed to keep out feral goats and pigs. Tim stopped along the way to point out the extensive work ANRPO has done to reintroduce native species, including grasses, ferns, and more well-known species like koa and ʻōhiʻa. ANRPO must not only contend with extreme conditions, predators. and invasives, but also the effects of climate change, which climate models predict will result in higher temperatures and drier conditions in the Wai‘anae Mountains.

From L to R: Beautiful ʻōhiʻa (Metrosideros polymorpha) in bloom; Chelsey Bryson with native fern kupukupu (Nephrolepis exaltata subsp. hawaiiensis); Endemic koʻokoʻolau (Bidens torta) in bloom. Credit: Krista Jaspers.

We reached the Army snail enclosure, designed to keep out a multitude of predators, and got to work weeding out invasive species throughout the enclosure. The Army snail enclosure was recently invaded by yellow crazy ants (Anoplolepis gracilipes), so the remaining snails have been removed to SEPP’s captive rearing facility.

From L to R: Rare Plant Program Coordinator Tim Chambers explains how the snail enclosure’s barrier keeps predators out; Conservation Manager Jane Beachy applies herbicide to a stubborn weed; the team celebrates weeding the entire Army snail enclosure. Credit: Krista Jaspers.

Our next stop was the State snail enclosure, where we immediately spotted the native tree snail Achatinella mustelina, endemic to the Wai‘anae Mountains and listed as critically endangered by the IUCN Red List Ranking. The snails seem to be thriving there – we found many of them living on the underside of the leaves of the pāpala kēpau (Rockia sandwicensis) and olopua (Notolaea sandwicensis) trees.

Achatinella mustelina on the underside of the leaves of the Olopua tree (Notolaea sandwicensis). Credit: Krista Jaspers.

The hike back took us along a ridgeline where we had sweeping views of the North and West shores of O‘ahu. It also took us past a very successful plot of reintroduced hāhā (Cyanea grimesiana subsp. obatae), federally listed as endangered and found only in the Wai‘anaes. The hāhā was in bloom and its floral display seemed to surprise even our guides – their enthusiasm was contagious, and we all clambered down a steep hillside to get a closer look. ANRPO collaborates with DOFAW’s Native Ecosystem Protection and Management (NEPM) program to manage this unusual lobelia.

From L to R: Conservation Manager Jane Beachy in a grove of outplanted rare endemic hāhā (Cyanea grimesiana subsp obatae) ; Hāhā in bloom. Credit: Krista Jaspers.

We would like to thank Jane and Tim for sharing their time and mo‘olelo (stories) about the good, the bad, and the ugly of what it takes to restore an ecosystem, and for the incredible job they are doing of managing natural resources in the Wai‘anaes under so much uncertainty.

Team members Mari Ching, Laura Brewington, Krista Jaspers, and Chelsey Bryson. Credit: Krista Jaspers.

Army Natural Resources Program Oʻahu
https://oanrp.com/about/

Hawaii Snail Extinction Prevention Program
https://dlnr.hawaii.gov/ecosystems/sepp/

How to Help Native Snails
https://dlnr.hawaii.gov/ecosystems/sepp/howtohelp/

ANRPO and UH
https://research.hawaii.edu/noelo/anpro-and-uh/

Oʻahu Invasive Species Committee (OISC)
https://www.oahuisc.org/

Division of Forestry and Wildlife: Native Ecosystems Protection and Management, Rare Plant Program
https://dlnr.hawaii.gov/ecosystems/rare-plants/

 

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Palau Climate Services and Coordination Workshop https://www.pacificrisa.org/2024/03/18/palau-climate-services-and-coordination-workshop/ Mon, 18 Mar 2024 19:38:09 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=6541 Read More]]> As part of Pacific RISA’s UNEP CIS-Pac5 research program on climate information and early warning systems, the team convened a Sector-based Climate Services and Coordination Workshop in Koror, Palau from February 26 to March 1, 2024. The workshop was funded by the Green Climate Fund and hosted by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Pacific RISA, and the University of Hawaii in partnership with the Palau Ministry of Finance Bureau of Budget and Planning, Palau Office of Climate Change, and the Palau Weather Service Office.

Participants at the Sector-based Climate Services and Coordination Workshop included President Surangel Whipps of Palau and US Ambassador to Palau Joel Ehrendreich, center.

“The challenges of climate change aren’t coming–we are living them”

~President Surangel Whipps of Palau

The workshop aimed to both facilitate the development and delivery of locally relevant and impact-driven climate early warning products to support sector-based decision-making in Palau and foster increased alignment and coordination of climate projects in country, including within the UNEP CIS-Pac5 as well as across other partners, such as the Local 2030 Islands Network.

To develop Climate Early Warning Systems (CLEWS), Pacific RISA followed the Pacific Islands Dialog process that was developed by NOAA in collaboration with USAID throughout the Pacific Islands region. Participants heard stories about climate events and impacts in Palau and engaged in interactive breakout activities to construct historical timelines and maps: creating a dataset of the “where and when” of those events and impacts that would later serve as a template for creating prototypes of sector-specific CLEWS for agriculture and health.

Palau’s National Climate Change Coordinator in the Office of Climate Change Erbai Matsutaro (left) describes the map of climate events and impacts that his breakout group created. Photo by Krista Jaspers.

During the week, the Local2030 Islands Network celebrated the launch of a new Palau Green Growth Dashboard, a public-private partnership to track Palau’s progress toward locally-relevant sustainable development goals. Pacific RISA collaborators from the University of Guam’s Center for Island Sustainability and Guam Green Growth were present for the launch and were central to the development of Palau’s dashboard. Additional workshop sessions were dedicated to presentations by partners in the UNEP CIS-Pac5 program and discussions around how to harmonize data, as a means to support communication, coordination, and collaboration across projects and initiatives within Palau, and elevate the important messages from the week. Throughout the workshop, local artist Janine Tewid created a live graphic interpretation of the CLEWS discussions, which was unveiled at a reception held the evening of February 29.

Pacific RISA Project Specialist and workshop organizer Chelsey Bryson (right), with Palauan artist Janine Tweid (left), displaying the live art created by Janine during the workshop. Photo by Krista Jaspers.

Featured image: the Rock Islands of Palau. Photo by Krista Jaspers.

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Invasive Species Threaten US Climate Change Resilience https://www.pacificrisa.org/2024/02/08/invasive-species-threaten-us-climate-change-resilience/ Fri, 09 Feb 2024 02:52:59 +0000 https://www.pacificrisa.org/?p=6528 Read More]]> Invasive species are a significant threat to climate-preparedness and resilience, according to a new white paper prepared for the US Department of the Interior by the Invasive Species Advisory Committee (ISAC). The paper, Invasive Species Threaten the Success of Climate Change Adaptation Efforts, addresses one of the most critical intersections between invasive species and climate change—where invasive species are posing a direct threat to natural climate solutions and climate resilience—and provides recommendations for action at the federal level.

“There are many examples—in the Pacific Islands and beyond—of how efforts to prevent and manage invasive species have resulted in more climate-resilient communities, ecosystems, and economies”, said white paper author and Pacific RISA Co-Lead Investigator Laura Brewington

Executive Order No. 14008 mandates that US federal agencies and departments develop Climate Change Adaptation Plans to enhance the nation’s resilience to climate change, but invasive species are also documented to reduce the effectiveness of climate adaptation and mitigation actions. For example, fire-tolerant invasive grasses are supercharging wildfires in many parts of the United States, including Hawaii and the US Pacific Islands, which not only threatens critical infrastructure and ecosystems, but also reduces wildland climate resilience and carbon storage capacity.  In spite of this, only eight of the 26 federal Climate Change Adaptation Plans directly reference invasive species, and just four meaningfully consider the reciprocal impact of invasive species on climate adaptation efforts.

The devastation of Lahaina, Maui, after wildfires fueled by invasive grasses and high winds in August, 2023
Credit: Elyse Butler

To develop recommendations for addressing this intersection of climate and invasive species, the ISAC author team conducted a gap analysis of the US Climate Change Adaptation Plans and synthesized case studies around the impacts of invasive species on US climate resilience. The five recommendations, if implemented, would transform how invasive species are considered within federal climate change planning, programs, and policies.

Five key recommendations for US federal agencies and departments to integrate invasive species into climate adaptation planning and processes. Source: ISAC 2023

“Our research confirmed what we already suspected: federal agencies have not yet actively integrated invasive species management into climate action planning, funding, and implementation—and they must take clear steps to do so in order to meet their own climate goals,” said Leigh Greenwood, TNC’s Director of Forest Pests and Pathogens programs and Chair of ISAC’s Climate Change subcommittee. “Each of the five recommendations is achievable and would help protect both people and nature from the damaging impacts of climate change.”

Download and share the full 2023 ISAC climate change white paper!

Featured image: Water hyacinth, a fast growing invasive weed that clogs waterways and flood control mechanisms in the southeastern United States. Credit: Florida Fish and Wildlife (via Flickr).

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