Climate change is altering the face of disaster risk, not only through increased weather related risks and sea-level and temperature rise, but also through increases in societal vulnerabilities from stresses on water availability, agriculture and ecosystems. Disaster risk reduction and climate change mitigation and adaptation share a common space of concern: reducing the vulnerability of communities and achieving sustainable development [23].
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Climate-related threats to public safety include; droughts; wildland fires, typhoons, hurricanes, and severe cyclones, floods, heavy rains, episodic high surf conditions; sea-level variation with associated coastal and beach erosion and nearshore flooding, and long-term sea-level rise with coastal inundation hazards. The vast majority of island communities and important infrastructure are on or very close to the coast and thus at risk from climate-related disasters. Disaster management addresses these hazards by assessing risks to people, communities, and governments and implementing measures to reduce impacts to livelihoods, critical facilities, structures, and community lifelines (such as infrastructure and utilities) to build resilient communities.
Climate related disasters have been the most costly in the Pacific because of the frequency and magnitude. Because the strong ENSO signals in the Pacific Ocean, many hazards occur in relation to ENSO events. Besides the storms, floods, drought, and wildfires with the 1997-1998 event, Typhoon Chataan and Super Typhoon Pongsona occurred in 2002, an El Niño year, and resulted in damages exceeding $1.6 billion (2008 USD) with impacts in the FSM, Guam, and CNMI [7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 28]. Drought in Oceania from 1990-2008 has resulted in more than $10.7 billion (USD) in damage; floods were estimated at $4.13 billion (USD) [4]. Hurricane Iniki that impacted Kauai, Hawaii primarily in 1992 resulted in more than $1.8 billion (USD) in damages, but it took the economy and businesses more than ten years to recover [21].
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Small islands are considered among the most vulnerable to climate variability and change, in large part because of the severe impacts of extreme events. Traditionally, Pacific Island communities survived natural disasters through a series of coping mechanisms, which included: food security through diverse crops, fragmentation of land, the production of surpluses and food preservation; cooperation and sharing among communities; building construction that could withstand the forces of nature; and traditional knowledge systems that included some predictive capabilities [3].
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Sandbags used to prevent coastal inundation and erosion. Source: SPREP.
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Incorporating gender analysis in disaster management programming can be especially effective in the Pacific Islands, where many gender roles are strong. “..Women often have untapped skills, coping strategies, and knowledge that could be used to minimize the impacts of crises, environmental change, and disaster. For example, during a drought in the small islands of the Federated States of Micronesia, it was local women, knowledgeable about island hydrology as a result of their land-based work, who found potable water by digging a new well that reached the freshwater lens. The everyday responsibilities of women and men in the small islands of Micronesia translate into gender-differentiated responses to warnings to oncoming climatic hazards, such as typhoons. Men are generally responsible of ocean-related activities, and women are responsible for land-based and near-shore or reef-based activities. Men typically secure the structures, canoes, and objects needed for fishing, and women gather plant clippings, prop banana trees, collect food and water, and direct families to a designated shelter where everyone awaits the storm. Afterwards, men rebuild structures and women and children gather salvageable palms and food. Women weave thatch and replant gardens. Without access to information about impending hazards, women cannot minimize risks to their critical sphere of land-based activities.” [1 (p.24, 25)] |
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As the climate warms, the number of intense cyclones may increase. If maximum tropical cyclone wind intensities increase by 5-10% by around 2050 [27], peak precipitation rates are likely to increase by 25% as a result, causing higher storm surges and impacting coastal communities. Recent studies demonstrate that wind-speed estimates for peak gusts should be increased to account for island topographic effects that cause wind speed increases up and down slopes, such as Diamond Head and in valleys on Oahu, Hawaii [5]. If storm events occur frequently, communities would be less likely to recover, resulting in long-term deterioration of infrastructure, freshwater resources, agricultural resources, and livelihoods [15]. Drought and other chronic disasters can have a profound effect on Pacific Island communities.
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Unprecedented sea level rise in Sunaleilei, PNG. Source: Supin Wongbusarakum, 2007 |
Because of the extensive risk from multiple types of disasters and the wide variation among island communities and infrastructures that can be impacted, islands must plan in a multi-hazard, comprehensive risk reduction framework. Mitigation plans and National Action Plans for Disaster Reduction in the Pacific have incorporated climate risks in planning [17, 18, 21, 23, 24, 25]. Using sustainability and human security frameworks, the comprehensive plans focus on building resilience to hazards in communities and governments.
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Disaster risk reduction measure and hazard mitigation actions to reduce climate-hazard impacts and to improve climate change adaptation include:
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Comprehensive, integrated, multi-hazard risk assessments: identifying and understanding hazard risks; identifying critical facilities, infrastructure and community lifelines, populations, and environments at risk; mapping hazards and risks; and, determining measures for addressing each risk;
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ntegrated disaster management including mitigation, preparedness, early warning, response, and recovery, at all scales (community to government levels), across all sectors (disaster, environment, economy, tourism, agriculture, coastal resources, forestry, water resources, health, etc.), with multiple stakeholders (general public, businesses, government, non-governmental organizations, communities, individuals, etc.), inclusive of gender, age, culture, class, and other socioeconomic factors;
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tructural evaluations, improved building codes, and assessments for sheltering during disasters;
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mproved land use, setbacks from coastal areas, streams, and mountain peaks, and ecosystem conservation;
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ncreased use of alternative energy sources;
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ater conservation measures and enhanced water storage capacity;
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atershed management and ahupuaʻa or integrated ecosystem management;
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iversified agriculture, ‘buying local,” and home gardening to improve local food security and to decrease dependence on shipping transportation, energy, and infrastructure for goods, services, and disaster relief;
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onservation of nearshore ecosystems;
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lternative and diversified livelihoods;
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ustainable development; and,
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ublic education, awareness, training, and outreach to empower communities to reduced hazard risks and develop adaptation strategies
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[1] Anderson, Cheryl L. 2002, Winter. Gender Matters: Implications for Climate Variability and Climate Change and Disaster Management in the Pacific Islands. Intercoast Network, 41: 24-25, 39. http://www.crc.uri.edu/download/2002_41_CRC_GenderPopulationEnvironment.pdf, accessed June 23, 2008.
[2] Bettencourt, S., R. Croad, P. Freeman, J. Hay, R. Jones, P. King, P. Lal, A. Mearns, J. Miller, I. Psawaryi-Riddhough, A. Simpson, N. Teuatabo, U. Trotz and M. Van Aalst. 2006. Not If But When: Adapting to Natural Hazards in the PacificIslands Region: A Policy Note. The World Bank, East Asia and Pacific Region, Pacific Islands Country Management Unit, Washington DC, 43 pp., http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTPACIFICISLANDS/Resources/Natural-Hazards-report.pdf, accessed June18, 2008.
[3] Campbell, J.R. 2006. Traditional disaster reduction in Pacific Island communities. GNS Science Report 2006/38 46p. http://www.gns.cri.nz/services/hazardsplanning/downloads/SR2006-038trad_mitigation_pacific.pdf, accessed June 23, 2008.
[4] Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED), EM-DAT Emergency Database, http://www.emdat.be/Database/DisasterProfile/profile_disasters.php?disgroup=natural&period=1900%242008&dis_type=Drought&Submit=Display+Disaster+Profile, accessed July 28, 2008.
[5] Chock, Gary, Jon Peterka, and Guangren Yu. 2002. Topographic Wind Speed-up and Directionality Factors for Use in the City and County of Honolulu Building Code. http://www.johnmartin.com/publications/Topographic%20Wind%20Speedup/10ACWE%20PaperChock.pdf, accessed July 30, 2008.
[6] Christensen, J.H., B. Hewitson, A. Busuioc, A. Chen, X. Gao, I. Held, R. Jones, R.K. Kolli, W.-T. Kwon, R. Laprise, V. Magaña Rueda, L. Mearns, C.G. Menéndez, J. Räisänen, A. Rinke, A. Sarr and P. Whetton, 2007: Regional Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter11.pdf, accessed July 23, 2008.
[7] Federal Emergency Management Agency, Region IX, Disaster Declarations, http://www.fema.gov/news/disaster_totals_annual.fema, accessed July 29, 2008.
[8] FEMA (1998). “Marshall Islands Severe Drought,” accessed September 16, 2007.
[9] FEMA (1997). “Guam Typhoon Paka,” accessed May 1, 2007.
[10] FEMA (1997). “Northern Mariana Islands Typhoon,” accessed September 16, 2007.
[11] FEMA (2003). “Super Typhoon Pongsona Assistance Surpasses Paka Totals,” accessed September 16, 2007.
[12] Guidry, M.W. and F. T. Mackenzie. 2008. Climate Change, Water Resources, and Sustainability in the PacificBasin: Emphasis on Oahu, Hawaii and Majuro Atoll, Republic of the Marshall Islands. University of Hawaii Sea Grant.
[13] Hay, J., N. Mimura, J. Cambell, S. Fifita, K. Koshy, R.F. McLean, T. Nakalevu, P. Nunn and N. deWet, 2003: Climate Variability and Change and Sea Level Rise in the Pacific Islands Regions: A Resource Book for Policy and Decision Makers, Educators and Other Stakeholders. South Pacific Regional Environmental Programme (SPREP), Apia, Samoa, 94pp.
[14] Hay, J.E., R. Warrick, C. Cheatham, T. Manarangi-Trott, J. Konno, and P. Hartley. Climate Proofing: A Risk-based Approach to Adaptation. Asian Development Bank.
[15] Mimura, N., L. Nurse, R.F. McLean, J. Agard, L. Briguglio, P. Lefale, R. Payet and G. Sem, 2007.SmallIslands. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. M. L. Parry, O. F. Canziani, J. P. Palutikof, P. J. van der Linden and C. E. Hanson (Eds.). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge UniversityPress. 687-716. http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg2/ar4-wg2-chapter16.pdf Accessed on February 12, 2008.
[16] NOAA National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), Event Record Details, 1997, Typhoon Paka, http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/wwcgi.dll?wwevent~ShowEvent~309549, accessed July 25, 2008.
[17] Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission (SOPAC). 1999. ENSO Impact on Water Resources in the Pacific Region Workshop Report. Tanoa International Hotel, Nadi, 19-23 October, 1999. SOPAC Miscellaneous Report 336. http://www.sopac.org/data/virlib/MR/MR0336.pdf, accessed July 28, 2008.
[18] Pacific Islands Applied Geoscience Commission (SOPAC). http://www.sopac.org/, accessed July 28, 2008.
[19] Presley, Todd K. 2005. Effects of the 1998 Drought on the Freshwater Lens in the Laura Area, Majuro Atoll, Republic of the Marshall Islands. Reston, Virginia: USGS. http://pubs.usgs.gov/sir/2005/5098/pdf/sir20055098.pdf, a ccessed on April 11, 2008.
Abstract (published by United States Geographical Survey http://usgs.gov)
Lower than average rainfall during late 1997 and early 1998 in Majuro Atoll, Republic of the Marshall Islands, caused a drought and severe drinking-water shortage. Majuro depends on a public rainfall catchment system, which uses an airport runway and storage reservoirs. The storage reservoirs can supply water for about 30 to 50 days without replenishment. In February 1998, after a few months with less than one inch of rainfall per month, a drought-related disaster was declared. Reverse-osmosis water-purification systems were brought to Majuro to help alleviate the water shortage. Concurrent with the water-purification program, ground water from a freshwater lens in the Laura area of the atoll was pumped at increased rates. Of the total consumed water during this period, ground water from Laura supplied between 90 percent (March 1998) and 64 percent (May 1998) of the drinking water. Due to public concern, a study was initiated to determine the effects of the drought on the freshwater lens.
[20] Shea, E., G. Dolcemascolo, C.L. Anderson, A. Barnston, C.P.Guard, M.P. Hamnett, S.T. Kubota, N. Lewis, J. Loschnigg, & G. Meehl. 2001. Preparing for a Changing Climate: The Consequences of Climate Variability and Change for PacificIslands. Honolulu: East-West Center.
[21] State of Hawaii Multi-Hazard Mitigation Plan, 2007 Update, http://www.mothernature-hawaii.com/hazmit_planning_toc2007.htm, accessed June 6, 2008.
[22] Tompkins, E.L. 2005. Surviving Climate Change in SmallIslands: a Guidebook. Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/publications/surviving.pdf, accessed April 16, 2008.
[23] United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (USISDR). 2008. Disaster Risk and Climate Change. http://www.unisdr.org/eng/risk-reduction/climate-change/climate-change.html, accessed July 23, 2008.
[24] United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction. 2005. Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015: Building the Resilience of Nations and Communities to Disasters. http://www.unisdr.org/eng/about_isdr/isdr-publications/07-hyogo-framework-for-action-english/hyogo-framework-for-action-english.pdf, accessed July 23, 2008.
[25] United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction. 2004. Living with Risk. http://www.unisdr.org/eng/about_isdr/bd-lwr-2004-eng.htm, accessed July 23, 2008.
[26] US Agency for International Development (USAID). 2007. Adapting to Climate Variability and Change: A Guidance Manual for Development Planning. http://www.usaid.gov/our_work/environment/climate/docs/reports/cc_vamanual.pdf, accessed July 29, 2008.
[27] Walsh, K. 2004. Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change: Unresolved Issues. Climate Research, 27: 77-83.
[28] Wiwkipedia. 2008.
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Paka#cite_note-ncdc-7. Typhoon Pongsona.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Typhoon_Pongsona, accessed July 28, 2008.